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. >>> debate bound, mitt romney erasing president obama's lead. this is a new poll. a major shift on women voters as well. an an injection of enthusiasm. we go inside the numbers with four weeks left. >>> and biggest jump ever. one man, literally falling from the edge of outer space, 23 miles straight down on purpose. why? and will he make it? >> that is the question. why? what is the craziest thing you've ever done. >> it's not jumping 23 miles straight down from outer space. that's a high bar. >> i can't wait to talk to him and find out the why. >> it's nuts. good morning, thank you for joining us on "early start," i'm john berman. >> and i'm zoraida sambolin. >>> jerry sandusky proclaims his innocence. in four wurhours, the former pe state football coach will be in court to find out his punishment. he is clearly defiant. >> they can take away my life, they can make me out as a monster, they could treat me as a monster but they can't take away my heart. in my heart, i know i did not do these alleged, disgusting acts. >> he takes no personal responsibility. he lays the blame for his fate
toward romney. this poll covers the four days sibts the debate and it has romney pulling even with president obama among registered voters, 46% even. four weeks ago pew had obama up by nine among registered voters, so this has been a huge shift in the pew poll. the move in the pew poll towards romney is greater among likely voters. romney is surging ahead to 49%. four weeks ago obama led among likely voters by eight. now to the latest gallup tracking poll which covers the last seven days. gallup has president obama back in the lead at 50 to 45. what a difference from the other polyp that's exactly where the race stood before the debate. romney had surged in the tracking poll. the two candidates were actually tied in the three days immediately after the debate, but the president seems to have wiped out romney's gains in the gallup poll. joining me right now are howard fineman, editorial director of the "huffington post," and the honorable michael nutter, mayor of philadelphia and presidential surrogate in this tough campaign. gentlemen, thank you for joining us. always go to th
poll. in the swing states, mr. romney leading in colorado by 4. mr. obama leading in pennsylvania by 2, the right poll showing a tie in nevada. the president up in new hampshire by 6 points. and really the one poll we waited on all day, the one poll that might matter more than any other single piece of data, the one piece we got today, president obama holding on to a 4-point lead in ohio. let's poll this one out. this is a cnn number from this afternoon. barack obama with an edge of 4 points in ohio, which is just outside the margin of error. it's a four-point lead, but far less than the nine and ten-point leads he held in this survey not long ago. i should say to democrats and obama supporters, i'm sorry if i unleashed those numbers on you with a mature content warning label. but my friend e.j. dionne will be with us later on this hour today. he says, i was talking with an old friend who was one of the nonpartisan polling outfits. we were discussing the large shifts in some of the polls on the presidential election and the feedback he receives whenever he puts out new numbers that mak
of new polling. >> we're seeing polls all over the place. >> mitt romney got a debate bounce. >> we cannot turn back now. >> the narrative about who's up, who's down in this race for the white house. >> it's a race that is anything but settled. >> there will be plenty of ups and downs over the next 28 days. >> just 28 days until election. >> are you in? are you ready for this? 28 days. are you with me? >>> tonight with 28 days until the presidential election, the head of the evolution-denying party got this question about evolution. >> that 47% comment that you made that's caused you a lot of grieve as you know. there's been a change in wrur position. you were initially saying when that tape came out that you weren't exactly elegantly stating your position. later and more recently you said you were completely wrong. i'm curious, governor, how did that evolution in your thinking go on from the initial reaction once that tape came out to what you said the other day that you were completely wrong? >> well, what i'm saying is that -- the words that came out were not what i meant. what w
romney leading president obama 2% right now. gallup is one of dozens of polls published every week. the polls at a dizzying speed are enough to drive a person insane. no one, including myself can seem to look away. republicans question or rather freaked out over several polls released prior to the presidential debate with a sizable lead of president obama over mitt romney. >> that begs the question, are these polls dishonest? >> no. look, we endow them with a false scientific precision. >> these polls, i don't pay attention to them schblgt polling is good at saying how you are going to vote. it's bad how who is going to vote. the models are crazy. >> the two polls are designed to convince everybody the election is over. >> democrats engaged in polling earlier this week questioning the methodology of the poll put romney up four points over barack obama. both parties have a tortured emotional lelationship with polling. why do we continue to listen? more importantly, what are the polls actually telling us? joining us is nate silver, author of "the signal and the noise: why so many pre
that shows romney up a great bit. now the real news begins, the state by state by state polls. >> four weeks away. can you believe it. >> we have a few to report on this morning. >> the election is coming. the fight for battleground states, less than four weeks until election day in ohio where there are 18 electoral votes up for grabs. a new cnn poll conducted after the debate shows the president leading by four points, 51-47. romney has gained four points there in just over a week. in new hampshire a new wmur granite state poll showses in last nine day he's whittled the 15-point lead down to 6 points. national polls has romney edging ahead of barack obama for the first time this year. the question is, is this what happens naturally, or was this spurred by the debate? >> it doesn't happen naturally. it happens after an earthquake. >> really? >> there was a political earthquake last week, the likes of which i've never seen in american politics, where a shift happened that dramatically in one night. donny, you've seen these things. i had somebody tell me you need seven positive impressions to
by the pew research center has governor romney leading president obama by four points. that poll conducted after the presidential debate. in this poll more voters identify themselves as republicans. last month they said they were democrats. that's when the president was up by eight points. the latest gallup tracking poll gives the president a five-point lead. this was conducted before and after the debate though his lead did tick up yesterday. president obama in a mitt romney will campaign in ohio today, a key battleground state. we have some live pictures to show you from athens, greece. that's where protests are taking place as german chancellor angela merkel visits. she's despised in greece as most consider her as the architect and enforcer of drastic cuts imposed on greece by the european union. protesters took to the streets early. hundreds of police are on stand by. greek government officials will attempt to pass another $17 billion in austerity cuts to qualify for more bailout money. >>> another big story we're following this morning, a record setting jump on hold for now. felix bau
gap. and president obama is flyi to florida after playing down romney's rise in the polls and his own poor debate performance. >> governor romney had a good night. i had a bad night. -- >> how bad in its not the first time i've had a bad night. >> and overseas, holding out hope for the school girl now being called an icon of pakistan. we'll get a live report on malala's condition. good day. i'm andrea mitchell live at center college in danville, kentucky. ahead of an -- here we've got a great crowd here already. already for tonight's crucial debate, the vice presidential debate in a presidential campaign that has a razor-thin edge. joining me now is chris cillizza, msnbc contributor and managing editor of post and chuck todd, nbc's chief white house correspondent, political director and host of "the daily rundown." >> abe lincoln behind you. >> let me go to chris cillizza first. >> sure. >> back in washington, talk about the stake as head. what are the two burdens, if you will for the two candidates tonight? >> well, look, i mean i think it is relatively obvious that
there is a change in the polls. today yet another round of opinion polls showing governor romney pulling ahead of the president after that big debate. the governor now has a two-point lead in the latest gallup poll of likely voters. before the debate, the president was up by five points in the same poll. the obama camp down playing the numbers. one campaign spokesman says he expected this to happen. a live look now in ohio where governor romney is getting ready for a rally. 18 electoral votes up for grabs four weeks from tonight. as i reported, no republican has won the white house without first winning ohio. the governor started his day in another battle ground state, iowa. he responded to one of the president's latest attack lines over the governor's pledge to cut funding for pbs. home of big bird. >> these are tough times with real serious issues. so you have to scratch your head when the president spends the last week talking about saving big bird. i actually think we need to have a president who talks about saving the american people and saving good jobs and saving our future. >> shep: no
week, mitt romney is seeing gains across the poll. governor romney is leading president obama 49-47, among likely voters and governor romney is picking up steam when it comes to women, according to the brand-new pew survey, tied with obama at 47%. that's an astonishing 18-point gain in one month among women, leading overall, 49-45. it is not just the national polls. in michigan, president obama's lead has been cut to just 3 points, within the margin of error. and obama led by 10 points in september. the same goes for the all-important state of pennsylvania. governor romney is only behind 3 point there is as well. you know where the bitter people, clinging to their guns and religion live n. wisconsin, the president obama lead shrunk by 5 points, leaving governor romney in striking distance there. today, because of the potential to win in some of these states, states that once seemed out of reach, there are reports of the romney campaign could be shifting strategy. we will be getting additional polls to show romney with an edge in ohio with a small margin, virginia and florida. we
or not but consistent with data we see. it's consistent with the poll that shows romney doing well over a long early time period that includes the days after the debate went well. it's consistent with state numbers that show bahama doing pretty well in the last two days but much worse on friday and saturday. it's also consistent with rasmussen which shows obama going back to predebate levels. so i think that the way you can synthesize all this is romney had a great couple of days after the debates, but now it's a little better for obama. >> you mentioned the state polls there. this is a question i'm sorting out and you wrote about it in the last few days. the conventional wisdom among the political science crowd is you don't have much variance between where the national horse race stands and where the race stands in the battleground states. if it moves nationally, it moves the same direction in the swing states. we see in this race closer polls nationally where obama will only be ahead by two points or whatever it is, and then you look at ohio and virginia and you see four or five, six, seven point
, obama and romney were typed according to gallup. the seven-day tracking poll that includes three debate days and four post-debate days has the race at 50-45 obama. to help us sort it out let's welcome back nate. today he wrote about romney's bounce and how long it might last. nate, thank god we have you here. my head is spinning trying to sort through it. let me lay it out for everybody and you can interpret it. gat will you please released yesterday three days of polls after the debate and said we have a tied race. gallup has a seven-day average that shows bahaobama gaining a t and losing a point. we have that, and then on the other end we have just before the show came on today, the daily coast and the sciu liberal groups say they have a poll coming out tomorrow that puts romney ahead. i got no idea. you tell us, where does this race stand right now? >> it's a little complicated, but keep in mind how the trackers work. when they add a new day of interviews, they drop the oldest day. when you see obama gaining now, that means that obama's interviews yesterday were even better than thos
things. >> sean: as romney surges in the polls, fear of a major staff shake-up speeps through obama chicago campaign headquarters. >> whenever there is a bad moment in a campaign, then suddenly fingers begin pointing. >> sean: what caused republican vice-presidential candidate paul ryan to shut down this liberal mainstream media interview? we have the tape. >> osama bin laden is dead-- >>> and disturbing new reports that al qaeda is coming back and could be more dangerous than ever before. >> ask bin laden if he is better off now than he was four years ago?! >> sean: we are just a mere 28 days from election day, four weeks from tonight. and "hannity" starts right here, right now. >> tonight, there are reports out of chicago that fear is now gripping the obama campaign headquarters in the wake of last week's disastrous debate. top advisers to the president's re-election effort are rumored to be considering a major staff shake-up as romney's impressive surge continues and panic sets in and david axelrod and stef new cutter are frantically searching for answers. not even their left-win
. check out this new cnn poll of polls. mitt romney has a two-point lead over president obama in that national poll there. here is the story in ohio where president obama holds a three-point lead. romney will be in ohio today campaigning. >> now, he's looking to capitalize on the momentum from the first presidential debate. debate number two is tuesday, but thursday's vp debate is still a hot topic on the trail. cnn political national correspondent jim acosta has more. >> randi and victor, the debate after the debate has been about substance most notably the vice president's comments on libya. >> i feel great. >> reporter: at breakfastfter his fiery debate, paul ryan still had his sunny side up. >> no, it's what i expected. ryan offered no complaints about biden's aggressive performance, which was designed to put some points on the president's scoreboard, whether it was on ryan's past request for stimulus money. >> on two situations -- >> reporter: orryan's attempt to compare mitt romney to jack kennedy. >> now you're jack kennedy. >> reporter: ryan was able to fire back with
national polls, not state polls, national polls, and the margin's been over two points. if mitt romney moves up two points and president obama moves down two points, there's another contest here with somebody else in front. lou: look at the swing states, looking at rasmussen, romney ahead in virginia and in ohio, romney a point behind the president where there was a significant lead, as you know, for the president. this is having some influence early. is it likely to be more profound as days go on? >> well, in all likelihood, this will build itself in for three or four more days here. there could be a lengthened -- and then the vice presidential debate that i suspect ryan takes care of biden in good form, but not much impact on the polls, and then the polls will be influenced by the debate the week following. let me say something about ohio. you put it in an interesting subject there. president obama's campaign said for weeks ohio's comfortably put away, ten points. american cross roads, which i don't head, just a supporter of it, i raise money for it, mu american cross roads' polling
, with four new polls showing governor romney is in the lead. the latest reuters poll shows he is leading the president by three points. another poll shows mitt romney ahead by three point and gallup show as two-point spread, romney in the lead and the investors business daily shows governor romney leading by one point. now bringing in our campaign insiders, former republican congressman, john leboutillier, and form pollster for president carter, pat caddell, and former pollster for bill clinton, doug schoen. is romney the frontrunner? >>doug: it is moving that way. he has the momentum but we need tuesday night and a good debate performance for that to be confirmed. right now the race is too close to call. >>gregg: pat, the reuters poll came up obama leading romney 59 to 39 among early voters. >> this is an online poll. it is a small number of people but it is being hyped today by a lot news organization who have stopped during -- doing their state polls now that obama is not doing so well. clearly the obama campaign is better organized and we do not know what it means in florida and nort
of mitt romney by eight points. well, here's what that pew poll looks like now. mitt romney has erased his eight-point deficit and he has turned entitle a four-point lead in that poll. what happened in the race all of a sudden to cause that sort of a jump? well, right here was the first presidential debate that happened last week. so before we had numbers that reflected the post-convention bounce for the democratic side. what you're looking at after that is the post-debate bounce for the republican side. we are actually still experiencing mitt romney's post-debate bounce. it is not over. every new national poll released today shows mr. romney either leading president obama or tied with him. this is what a post-debate bounce looks like. for all the democratic hand wringing going on right now, here's essentially what happened in the last month. the race was tight and president obama got a post-convention bounce and went out ahead and then mitt romney erased that and we are back where we started. democrats are hoping that the mitt romney post-debate bounce ends tomorrow. democrats are hoping
he just said, the polls are suggesting that it's actually being quite efficacious for mitt romney to give a top line but no content, no details. >> well -- >> that duth suggests that the decker to rat isn't listening. >> debates can change the course of the race but generally you have to look at all three presidential debates and see where things are. we're in a very volatile moment because things are moving quite clearly after that first debate. and it's very hard to know where things will settle other than the historical precedent when we saw it happen for instance in 2004. john kerry got a significant bump out of that first debate, george bush, ep though he was hardly an expert debater, did claw back in debates two and three, and the race ended up off where it was predebate but still with the president, at the time president bush, ahead. so let's wait and see where this settles down. the other factor people are completely ignoring is there is the economy. the economy is getting better, pal panelly across all measures. consumer confidence, unemployment. that's affecting the unde
, this afternoon's gallup poll showing the president leading mitt romney 49% to 46% among registered voters. among likely voters it's romney up by two leading the president 49% to 47%. folks, this is a tight race as both candidates are keenly aware. romney began in iowa, one of the states that could prove crucial to his hopes for a path to 270 electoral votes. and he was introduced by his son, josh, who had an interesting take on romney's debate preparation. >> we'd say the same lie over and over and my dad learned then not to believe it. so while we didn't go to any of the formal debate preparation, we did the real hard stuff. as a father, he learned how to debate an obstinate child. >> kicking it off by suggesting the president is an obstinate child. that's great, mr. romney. what do you have for sale? >> i am going to put a cap on regulation and any new major regulation will have to be approved by congress. i'm not letting the politicians off the hook. >> absolutely, he's not letting politicians off the hook, just wall street, k street, polluters, abusers, everyone else. the president spent las
, very energetic. there is a lot of work to be made up here for this romney campaign. polls show that the governor still trails the president but he has cut into that lead by about half over the last couple of weeks. and we can also tell you that both paul ryan and mitt romney were on the record yesterday about this situation down in libya, and what vice president joe biden said in thursday night's debate. the republicans believe they caught him contradicting the state department. listen to what these two republicans had to say on the trail yesterday. >> the vice president directly contradicted the sworn testimony of state department officials. he's doubling down on denial. >> this is not what leadership looks like. we need clarity, not confusion. we need accountability, and no more excuses. >>> now ohio may ultimately be the state that turns this election one way or another. as we mentioned earlier the president still holding a lead here. obviously the auto bailout a big factor alex. about one in eight jobs are related to the auto industry. the president approved that bailout of
think this is a case of going back to the formula that had helped build that lead in the polls prior to that first debate. you know, the so-called likability gap. the idea that mitt romney is out of touch with the average american. going back to this issue of his taxes not only has he not released his tax returns, as many presidential candidates have in the past, of course, but he's effectively paid a 14% rate on his taxes, and that is something that is a lower rate paid on investment income. let's have a listen to a little bit of that ad. >> you've paid 14% in federal taxes. that's the capital gains rate. is that fair to the guy who makes $50,000 and paid a higher rate than you did? so you think it is fair? >> yeah, i think it's -- it's the right way you encourage economic growth. >> lower tax rates for him than us. is that the way to grow america? >> and so it goes, alex. the president leaving the white house just a little later this morning. >> mike viqueira, thank you very much. while the gop ticket is crisscrossing the crucial battleground state of ohio again today and mitt romn
that is hoping that joe biden can sort of blunt romney's momentum, which is beginning to show up in the polls. we know most people thought that mitt romney won the debate. democrats are looking for biden to blunt that momentum. can he do that? >> of course, joe biden, again, knows how to communicate very, very well. i think the expectations for president obama, of course, are always exceedingly high, and it was relatively easy for mr. romney who had an 11th hour conversion. we recall that he is the etch-a-sketch guy that has transformed himself and quite frankly, we always have to wournd which mitt is going to show up. so if you just lay out lie after lie after lie about your own plan as well as what the president has been talking about, of course, you can look good. vice president biden will do very, very well. he knows what has been going on. he is in touch with the american public, and i'm just hopeful mr. ryan will tell the truth. whether it's about medicare and that it's a voucher program, that mr. romney and mr. ryan, their health care plan will lead to many uninsured and put people back ou
countries. >>> according to the latest polls, governor romney is gaining some ground in the key swing states of ohio, florida, and virginia. crowds at his campaign stops are growing and poll numbers are inching upwards hi since his performance in the first presidential debate. no republican has ever won the presidency without winning ohio. according to a real clear politics average, the president is less than a point ahead in virginia, and romney is leading the president in florida by three points. >>> the family of elizabeth marriott is asking for help to find the 19-year-old's body. the university of new hampshire student vanished last tuesday night in dover, new hampshire. police say they believe elizabeth is dead and they believe they have the man who killed her. 29 yea year old seth mazzaglia n custody. police are working to recover her body but say they have credible evidence that the suspect disposed of her remains in new hampshire. >>> we're now going to check in with one of our top house members who is keeping an eye on the events in libya as they unfold. as we have here' hearings o
in the polls of florida and other places, it seems that mitt romney has gotten a boost from the first debate and that is why this second debate is so important. and in florida just like ohio and virginia two other battleground states, you are seeing the visits from the candidates and so much money spent on ads. randi? >> interesting stuff to watch the polls go up and down and all around. paul steinhauser, thank you and nice to see you. >>> another big story this week, the drug facility at the center of the fungal meningitis deaths are the same one that is implicated ten years ago. it is curious if the current outbreak could have been prevented. brian todd has the report. >> reporter: it is alleged that the deaths are caused by the same drug compounds agency that was caused in 2004. william koch was given a drug that was made by necc which is identified in the papers as new england compounding pharmacy, and the suit seeking $2.5 million from the company says that the dep med roll that he received was contaminate and that he got bacterial meningitis from it, and koch passed a wawan 204. we don
, mitt romney trails in florida and is down six in ohio. a quinnipiac poll shows him up three points in three other states. cnn's paul steinhauser is at the site in danville, kentucky with an inside look. >> reporter: 14 hours from now behind me on this stage, the only vice presidential debate in the campaign. they've been behind closed doors getting ready for this big showdown. the republican running mate got here to kentucky yesterday. before he arrived, he played a little bit of the expectations game, kind of lowering the bar for himself. >> joe biden has been on this stage many times before. it's my first time. sure it's a nervous situation because joe biden is one of the most experienced debaters we have in modern politics. >> as for vice president joe biden, he gets here later today. how is it going to work? to tell us. frank farencoff. >> it will be similar to the start of the colorado debate except that these two will be seated at a table. the vice president will be on the left. the congressman will be on the right. by flip of a coin -- we're very scientific in these things,
they say mitt romney won. just 20% believe mr. obama prevailed. rasmussen dale tracking poll today has the race tied among likely voters. 48% each. in iowa and colorado, the president is hanging tough. in iowa, it's obama 49, romney 47. colorado, obama 49, romney 48. both are dead heats within the margin of error. joining us from washington, democratic strategist marge mcclinton in for juan williams and mary katherine ham. the pugh number, 49-45 surprised me, mary katherine. same with you? >> i was a little surprised at how far it moved. i'm not surprised it's moving in mitt romney's favor. i mean, this was 70 million people watching and the guy who showed up, mitt romney showed up to do that job that night was the best he had ever looked and certainly obama, the worst he ever looked on a stage with someone else, i would say when we have seen him in the situations before. people tuned in those 70 million people thinking they were going to be a colts-packers fight, but they were surprised. i think the amount of that surprise worked in romney's favor. i will point out that the pugh surve
going into next debate, both nominees are de even. a new pew poll, showing mitt romney, jumping 4 points ahead. to pat goodell, a game changer, thank you for joining us, what do you make of this idea. do the debates matter or not in chances of someone winning the election? >> they do matter a great dial, this is biggest singleebate in helping a candidate since ronald reagan. it was one debate, in carter in '76 they proved people were comfortable to him becoming president. less:liz: said no more presidel debates. >> that is right, until 1976, i remember i went did the research, getting ready for 76 debate, i assume like everyone else legend was that kennedy won first debate big and moved polls a lot, he had not, he moved them a few points but he got what i call credibility threshold. the reason that romney is doing so well, not vote numbers alone. he did was, you could see it in cbs poll, their panel of uncommitted voters. liz: the guys and ladies in 40 40 40-yard line. >> yes, 30% said that romneycared about people about them at the beginning of the debate, by the end it was 53, almost
, working bipartisanly? 7% rating? >> mitt romney -- >> a recent cbs/"new york times" poll puts disapproval of congress an eye-popping 75%. let's go ahead and bring in today's brain trust. syndicated columnist bob franken, and the "washington post's" jennifer rubin, also a contributor to cnbc's "kudlow report." good saturday afternoon to all of you. kevin, i want to start with you. you're here in the studio with me. you wrote a piece. it's titled why vote. >> yeah. >> my ap government politics teach worry have a fit with this one. but in the article you say in part, quote, for more than a generation, this has been the central truth of american politics. how you cast your vote has almost no relation to what any candidate actually intends to do. do you truly believe that no americans can no longer count on the men and women they vote for to live up to their campaign promise? >> i do. there is a tremendous disconnect from the people at the head of the parties and the people we put into office, and a lot of their base. more so in the democratic party. but also even if you're a republican and yo
. the latest nbc news marist poll shows mitt romney with 48% of the vote. president obama 47%. that's likely voters in the commonwealth. that's a shift from last week hen the president had 48% and governor romney had 46%. those numbers are both well within the poll's margin of error. so we wanted to find out who is really ahead in virginia. i'm joined by brian moran, chairman of the democratic party of virginia. also cory stewart, the chairman of the prince william board of county supervisors, also a republican candidate for lieutenant governor there. let's start off, gentlemen, with listening to some sound from undecided voters in virginia. this is after the vice presidential debate on thursday. take a listen. >> i think the -- what was it, 23 million people are unemployed. i think that that's a big statistic, especially for young grads, especially young college grads. >> both have packages to create jobs. however, the jobs that are going to be created by president obama and vice president joe biden are going to be ones that are immediate jobs. >> all right, cory, let's start there. will pr
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 71 (some duplicates have been removed)